Bitcoin increase or bullish trap? Here are the items to watch this week

Bitcoin begins the week with an upward dynamic, crossing the $ 87,000 in an unstable economic and geopolitical context. Weakness of the dollar, trade tensions and prudent investors reactions shape the landscape. Here are 5 key elements to follow to understand the challenges around the BTC this week.

A Bitcoin analyst who identifies the factors that could influence the BTC this week.

In short

  • Bitcoin exceeds $ 87,000, reaching a monthly summit, but on weak volumes.
  • Traders are waiting for a confirmation during the week to validate the upward trend.
  • The Fed and tensions with Trump strongly influence the macroeconomic climate.
  • Bitcoin follows gold, which borders on 3,400 dollars, in a context of increased uncertainty.
  • The US dollar falls, supporting the bullish dynamics of alternative assets such as Bitcoin.
  • New Bitcoin buyers go back in profit, with an average gain of 3.7 %.
  • Ethereum remains stuck between 1,520 and $ 1,700, slowed down by a limited L2 activity and a low ETH/BTC ratio.

5 things to absolutely know about Bitcoin this week

While markets vacillate between hope and uncertainty, Bitcoin is talked about. Here are the 5 essential elements to know to follow the evolution of Bitcoin this week.

1. The price of bitcoin climbs, but distrust persists

Bitcoin started the week in style with a jump of 3 %, reaching 87,400 dollars, its highest level for almost a month. However, this increase did not convince all traders. Indeed, the evolution occurred during the weekend, a period known for its low liquidity and volatility. Some analysts then point out the lack of volume as a prudence signal.

The markets are therefore awaiting confirmation during the week, when traditional scholarships are open. If Bitcoin manages to maintain this level despite a lower pressure on actions, this would strengthen the upward thesis. But as it stands, investors avoid euphoria. The $ 88,800 area remains a key resistance to cross.

2. American monetary policy at the center of attention

This week, the policy of the American federal reserve could have a direct impact on Bitcoin. Eight presidents of the Fed will express themselves on the state of the economy, in a tense context between the central bank and Donald Trump. The latter even suggested to dismiss Jerome Powell, the president of the Fed, because of his refusal to quickly lower the rates.

These political tensions nourish uncertainty on the markets, and it is often in this type of climate that Bitcoin shines. In the absence of major major economic data, investors will closely observe the speeches of officials, in particular if they mention the inflation, rates or stability of the dollar. Each intervention could affect BTC dynamics.

In the absence of major major economic data, investors will closely observe the speeches of officials, in particular if they mention the inflation, rates or stability of the dollar.In the absence of major major economic data, investors will closely observe the speeches of officials, in particular if they mention the inflation, rates or stability of the dollar.
Probability of Fed rate drop.

3. Bitcoin follows gold while the metal approaches 3,400 dollars

Strong fact: Bitcoin begins to react like gold. With the rise of geopolitical and commercial tensions, the two assets displayed a notable increase when the future is opening this week. After reaching a summit of 3,245 dollars, gold approaches a historic record at $ 3,400 per ounce, carried by macroeconomic instability and Trump publications on the ” Non-Tariff Cheating ».

From now on, Bitcoin et Or send the same message: the dollar is weakened and the uncertainty dominates. This convergence between the two assets had not been observed for years. Historically, Bitcoin rallies followed those of gold with a slight gap of a few months. This could announce a new upward phase for the BTC, if this correlation is confirmed in the coming weeks.

Historically, Bitcoin rallies followed those of gold with a slight gap of a few months. This could announce a new upward phase for the BTC, if this correlation is confirmed in the coming weeks.Historically, Bitcoin rallies followed those of gold with a slight gap of a few months. This could announce a new upward phase for the BTC, if this correlation is confirmed in the coming weeks.
Graphic of bitcoin and gold

4. The US dollar has dropped to its lowest level since 2022

Bitcoin also benefits from another key factor: the fall in the dollar. The index Dxy, which measures the force of the greenback in the face of a basket of major currencies, fell by 1.3 % this week and displays an annual decrease close to 10 %. This is its lowest level since March 2022. For Bitcoin investors, this weakness of the dollar is a boon.

Queen Crypto has historically performed during the Doxy withdrawal phases and some analysts even see the beginning of a new supercycle of raw materials. If this dynamic continues, Bitcoin could enter a phase of expansion similar to that of the 2000s, reinforcing its role of active refuge in an uncertain monetary environment.

The index Dxy, which measures the force of the greenback in the face of a basket of major currencies, fell by 1.3 % this week and displays an annual decrease close to 10 %.The index Dxy, which measures the force of the greenback in the face of a basket of major currencies, fell by 1.3 % this week and displays an annual decrease close to 10 %.
Dollar collapse

5. The new Bitcoin buyers go back in profit

According to the latest cryptocurrency data, the 87,000 dollars threshold allowed new buyers to go back to the beneficiary area, with an average gain of 3.7 %. This signal is deemed positive in the short term because it reduces the risk of panic sales and strengthens the confidence of recent entrants.

However, the $ 91,000 area remains critical: it is the average purchase price of the majority of short -term investors. As long as Bitcoin has not crossed this level, latent pressure for sale could persist. The behavior of these “short-term holders” will greatly influence the next movements. A frank break above 91,000 dollars could trigger new more sustainable bullish impetus.

The $ 87,000 threshold has enabled new Bitcoin buyers to go back to the beneficiary area, with an average gain of 3.7 %.The $ 87,000 threshold has enabled new Bitcoin buyers to go back to the beneficiary area, with an average gain of 3.7 %.
New bitcoin buyers in green

Ethereum lagging behind: lack of momentum despite the Bitcoin rally

While Bitcoin continues the performances and draws the attention of investors, Ethereum remains lagging behind, slowed down by a limited activity on layer solutions. This stagnation feeds doubts on the short -term resumption of the Ethereum ecosystem. As Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research explains:

Bitcoin has found an upward dynamic as the week of April 21 to 27, 2025 approaches between 83,000 and 90,000 dollars [… ] Ethereum, on the other hand, remains in a range between 1,520 and $ 1,700 … The limited activity of layer 2 and a depressed ETH/BTC ratio slowed down the momentum. The technical indicators remain neutral, and a clear rupture above $ 1,700 is necessary to change the feeling.

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While Bitcoin regains vigor in a tense economic climate, several signals suggest a bullish potential. However, caution remains in order. Ethereum is struggling to keep up with the pace. The coming week promises to be decisive to confirm or deny this Dynamics of the BTC on the Crypto markets.

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