The crypto market continues to fascinate investors and institutions, but a new analysis has revived the debate. According to VanEck, a major player in asset management, the year 2025 could be marked by movements of an unprecedented scale. Matthew Sigel, head of crypto research, first anticipates a significant correction in bitcoin and altcoins over the summer, before a rise to all-time highs at the end of the year. These predictions, based on economic signals and cyclical trends, raise crucial issues for the markets, from institutional adoption to the evolution of regulations.
A summer correction at the heart of expectations
VanEck predicts a significant consolidation of the crypto market in 2025, marked by a correction of 30% for bitcoin and declines of up to 60% for certain altcoins. According to Matthew Sigel, this decline would result from speculative overheating. “These fluctuations reflect excessive dynamics, particularly visible through funding rates that exceed 10% on perpetual futures markets,” explainhe said in an analysis published on December 13, 2024. Such a phenomenon, already observed during previous cycles, would indicate a momentary loss of steam before a more sustained recovery.
This anticipation is based on historical and structural elements. Ryan Lee, senior analyst at Bitget Research, recalls in a statement to Cointelegraph on November 27, 2024 that “bitcoin has often shown signs of correction after presidential inaugurations in the United States.” This regularity is part of a global context where the economy remains in full transformation. Added to these elements are the forecasts of other market players, which underlines that the summer of 2025 could constitute a critical phase for readjusting valuations before a potential upward recovery.
The hope of a historic peak at the end of the year
However, after a period of consolidation, VanEck projects a dramatic rebound for the end of 2025. The company's forecasts estimate that bitcoin could reach a spectacular high of $180,000, while Ethereum would cross the threshold. $6,000. This bullish dynamic would not be limited to the main cryptos. Other cryptos like Solana and Sui could see their prices rise to $500 and $10, respectively. According to VanEck, this acceleration would be supported by key structural developments, including the approval of new crypto ETFs and the strategic use of bitcoin as a national reserve in the United States.
These institutional advances represent a decisive step for the sector. VanEck points out that renewed leadership at the SEC could accelerate the implementation of next-generation financial tools. These innovations include staking products for Ethereum and in-kind transactions for bitcoin, intended to simplify access for institutional investors. At the same time, major players like BlackRock are already talking about an allocation of 2% of portfolios to bitcoin, which demonstrates a growing interest in cryptos within large financial institutions. These changes should strengthen portfolio diversification and consolidate investor confidence in the long term.
The year 2025 could mark a major turning point for the crypto market. On the one hand, the summer correction announced by VanEck will trigger significant challenges, which will therefore test the ability of investors to adjust their strategies. On the other hand, the historic records expected at the end of the year will open up significant opportunities, driven by the growing adoption of institutional tools and regulatory advances. This context, both promising and unstable, will test the resilience of the sector in order to redefine its foundations. Actors capable of anticipating these dynamics will have a unique opportunity to take advantage of this unprecedented cycle.
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