Bitcoin could climb $ 135,000 within 100 days

The countdown is launched. Indeed, Bitcoin could cross a new historic summit much earlier than we imagine. A recent analysis signed Timothy Peterson, recognized economist of the Bitcoin network, plans to take off at 135,000 dollars in the next 100 days. At the origin of this projection: the fall of the VIX index, symbol of a renewed appetite for the risk, and an aligned macroeconomic situation. What revive the upward ambitions of a market in search of solid catalysts.

The VIX index and the macroeconomic thesis of a BTC at $ 135,000

In a recent publication on X, the economist of the Bitcoin Timothy Peterson network advances a daring, but methodically built hypothesis. If the current macroeconomic environment is maintained, Bitcoin could reach $ 135,000 within 100 days.

This scenario is based on the evolution of the VIX CBOE (VIX), a well -known indicator that measures the expected volatility of the US stock market. Peterson noted in a publication on social network X (ex Twitter) on 1^er May 2025:

A VIX below 18 is typically interpreted as risk taking.

In this context, investors are encouraged to turn to high -efficiency assets, such as cryptos.

Here are the important facts that support this forecast:

• The VIX went from 55 to 25 in the space of 50 days of trading, a sign of a gradual return of trust in the financial markets;
• The Peterson forecast model has a historic monitoring rate of 95 %, which strengthens the credibility of its anticipation at $ 135,000;
• According to Peterson, “If the VIX remains low, this will create the necessary conditions for Bitcoin to record a new historic summit in the next 100 days”.
• This model is integrated into a reading of macroeconomics, where bitcoin, as risky actors, reacts directly to the overall perception of risk.

Such an approach is supported by Jurrien Timmer, director of macroeconomics at Fidelity, who explain in a publication on the X platform on May 2 that Bitcoin is both “Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde”sometimes acting as a reserve of value, sometimes as a speculative asset.

He emphasizes that when the global money supply (M2) increases in parallel with a bull's level market, Bitcoin tends to get carried away, because it then benefits from a double lever: monetary and speculative.

A under tension market: towards massive squeeze shorts?

In parallel with these macroeconomic signals, other indicators emerge from the very heart of the crypto market. Cryptocurrency underlines that the capitalization of Stablecoins has reached a historic record of $ 220 billion.

Such an increase is not trivial: it translates a revival of liquidity available in the crypto ecosystem, which could fuel new bruit movements of Bitcoin. While the capital release characterized the previous periods, this trend reversal indicates a reinjection of funds, often considered as a rally precursor.

However, that's not all. Bitcoin term financing rates have become strongly negative, a sign of an influx of selling positions on the derivative markets. Thus, this means that many traders are now betting against the rise of bitcoin.

However, under these conditions, the slightest brutal increase in the BTC could trigger a Squeeze shorts, which would force sellers to redeem their positions urgently to limit their losses. More than $ 3 billion in short positions are today exposed to a liquidation. If this dynamic activates, it could propel the price of bitcoin to the $ 100,000 area, in a movement amplified by the mechanical effects of the lever.

Beyond the simple technical observation, this imbalance between buyers and sellers shows how sensitive the market remains in brutal catalysts. An external trigger, whether macroeconomic or regulatory, could be enough to reverse the positions and cause a bull's bunter effect. In this context, short -term perspectives are marked by strong uncertainty, but also by explosive growth potential. It remains to be seen whether the market will be able to maintain the pressure long enough to transform this potential into reality.