Bombing Iran for a weekend: deterrent or strategic opportunism? Since the announcement of the strikes by Trump, geopolitical tensions have waged the crypto sphere. Bitcoin fell under the symbolic bar of $ 100,000, recording 5.4 % losses in one week. In this climate of uncertainty, markets test their nerves. And Bitcoin, its status as an active refuge.
In short
- Bitcoin breaks the $ 100,000 mark, with 5.4 % of weekly losses.
- More than $ 595 million in long positions have been liquidated in the crypto markets.
- The support of the $ 97,000 becomes critical, the traders are waiting for a clear signal to act.
- The technical indicators remain mixed, between RSI neutral and MacD still clearly lower.
Bitcoin under $ 100,000: the domino effect of missiles
Saturday evening, Trump draws. In the process, the Bitcoin course wins Under the $ 100,000breaking a key support observed by traders around the world. Long positions explode: more than $ 595 million liquidatedaccording to market data. A real lightning crash.
A calm voice in the tumult, that of Columbus ::
Bitcoin still holds $ 100,000 despite American attacks against Iran, which is a good sign. But if the daily fence goes below, we will get the $ 92–94,000.
The traders hesitate. The indicators oscillate: RSI at 43, macD in red, stochastic at 14. No clear direction. Only certainty: geopolitics upsets Crypto certainties. And under $ 100,000, Confidence is crumbling.
War and Bull Run: the memories of a bitcoin that bounces
This is not the first time that war has been hit … and Bitcoin reacts against the tide.
The Merlijn trader reminds us: ” In 2022, Bitcoin jumped 42 % in 35 days after the start of the war in Ukraine. It was in the middle of a lower market. Today, we are in 2025, war fears are increasing. But Bitcoin remains above $ 100,000. What happens if history is repeated with more intensity? »»
But this time, buyers are cautious. THE Support at $ 97,000 remains active, but feverish. Others bet on a deeper withdrawal. Abbe estimates that a fall to $ 93,000 – 94,000 will precede a reversal. History is not always repeated … but it rhymes.
It is now that everything can switch: technical signals on alert
As we approach the weekend, The signals accumulate … and worry. The technical thresholds are weakened, volatility climbs, and the algos are preparing to react at the quarter candle. The crypto market is under reinforced surveillance.
Here is what to keep in the eye:
- The RSI stagnates at 43, undecided market signal;
- The MacD remains deeply negative, no bullish crossing in sight;
- The CCI at –125 points a possible turnaround, but without volume;
- The intra -day support at $ 100,945 has sold without resistance;
- Liquidity is concentrated around $ 97,000, according to Coinglass.
In this context, crisis tweets circulate at high speed. Alpha Whale sounds the alarm: ” If the United States strikes Iranian nuclear sites and kill Russian workers, we will be on the verge of the third world war. […] Bitcoin will fall, actions too. Gold and obligations will climb. Stay vigilant, trade intelligently. »»
While fear dominates the screens, some see far. The Aviv indicator, used by Gert Van Lagen, has not yet reported a summit. Result: a projection at $ 330,000 remains credible according to its criteria. Nothing is guaranteed, but in this unpredictable market, everything remains open.
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