Predictive Markets: OpenAI partners with Kalshi for the World Cup
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Predictive markets are gradually gaining their place in digital tools intended for the general public. Technology platforms are now exploring new ways to present this data to enrich user experiences. In this context, OpenAI is starting to integrate Kalshi’s predictions into ChatGPT’s FIFA World Cup search results. This development marks a first known collaboration between the artificial intelligence company and a platform specializing in prediction markets.

Illustration depicting OpenAI and Kalshi entering into a partnership around World Cup prediction markets, with a soccer trophy and probability charts in the background.

In brief

  • OpenAI now displays Kalshi predictions for World Cup matches directly in ChatGPT search results.
  • This integration constitutes the first known partnership between OpenAI and a predictive markets platform.
  • The odds displayed are for information purposes only and are not intended for placing bets via ChatGPT.
  • This initiative is part of a growing adoption of predictive market data by major technology and media platforms.

OpenAI integrates Kalshi forecasts into ChatGPT

Predictive markets are taking a growing place in digital tools intended for the general public. According to a New York Times article, relayed by CointelegraphOpenAI now displays Kalshi prediction market odds when users search for World Cup fixtures in ChatGPT. This integration had not yet been the subject of an official announcement at the time of its discovery. Kalshi did not wish to comment on this development, while OpenAI did not respond to requests regarding this partnership.

Concretely, the results take the form of graphs presenting the winning probabilities of each team according to Kalshi data. The goal is to provide a quick overview of market forecasts directly in the search interface. This initiative represents OpenAI’s first known partnership with a predictive markets platform, illustrating the growing interest of technology companies in this type of information.

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Probabilities displayed for informational purposes only

The data integrated into ChatGPT serves exclusively to inform users. People viewing the results cannot purchase contracts or place bets directly from the interface. This limit follows OpenAI guidelines, which clearly distinguishes the display of forecasts from any transaction activity.

THE report cites several examples of research carried out in ChatGPT. A search for a match between France and Spain showed a 59% win probability for France according to Kalshi. Another search for a match between England and Argentina had a 55% probability in favor of England. In each case, OpenAI identifies Kalshi as the source of the forecasts displayed to users.

Screenshot of ChatGPT displaying winning odds for the France-Spain World Cup match based on data from the Kalshi Predictive Market.Screenshot of ChatGPT displaying winning odds for the France-Spain World Cup match based on data from the Kalshi Predictive Market.
ChatGPT displays Kalshi’s predictions for the France-Spain match, with a 59% chance of victory for France versus 41% for Spain. Source: Cointelegraph.

Predictive markets are developing on major platforms

Founded as a regulated predictive markets platform, Kalshi allows users to trade contracts linked to economic, political or sporting events. Its activity has grown significantly in recent months. THE Dune Analytics data indicate that the platform recorded monthly notional volume above $33 billion as of June 2026, approximately $22 billion more than Polymarket.

Chart comparing monthly notional volume of major prediction markets, showing Kalshi in the lead with over $33 billion as of June 2026.Chart comparing monthly notional volume of major prediction markets, showing Kalshi in the lead with over $33 billion as of June 2026.
Kalshi’s monthly notional volume exceeds $33 billion in June 2026, putting the platform ahead of Polymarket and other prediction markets. Source: Dune Analytics.

This development is part of a broader trend. Kalshi has entered into partnerships with CNN And CNBC in December 2025 in order to integrate its data into their content. For his part, Polymarket has partnered with Dow Jones in January 2026 to provide its forecasts for several products, including Wall Street Journal.

In addition, Google has also integrated Kalshi and Polymarket data into Google Finance and Google Search from November 2025. With this new integration, OpenAI in turn joins companies that exploit predictive markets to enrich their information services.

The arrival of this data in ChatGPT confirms the progression of predictive markets within major digital platforms. If this integration remains limited to an informative role, it could open the way to new uses of market-based forecasts in artificial intelligence tools, while maintaining a separation between displayed information and transaction activities.

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