Ethereum: Handy resumption in sight? Technical analysis on October 1, 2025

Ethereum finds a certain stability after a correction phase. Find our complete analysis and the current technical perspectives of ETH.

ETH/USD technical analysis

Ethereum's Spot Price stands around $ 4,290, rebounded after a cumulative drop of almost 17 %. Over the week, the variation remains negative at -7.4 %, confirming a still fragile market, but supported by a renewed interest. Weekly volumes reach $ 27.6 billion, an increase of 32 %, reflecting a return of activity after several weeks of decline.

The long -term trend, represented by SMA 200, remains bullish, confirming the substantive structure of the market. In the medium term (SMA 50), the trend is stabilized after the post-Moullye correction phase. Finally, short -term dynamics (SMA 20) oscillates between neutrality and lower, online biases with the recent volatility. The momentum displays a rebound after being significantly contracted, suggesting an attempt to take over.

Ethereum key levels

Immediate resistances are at $ 4,394, followed by ATH at $ 4,956, representing critical distribution areas. Major supports are $ 3,825 and $ 3,355, defense thresholds that can attract accumulation in the event of selling pressure. The last daily break at $ 4,000 illustrates a rapid price recovery after a brief loss of the medium. The monthly pivot point at $ 4,245 is currently playing a balance role around the Spot price. Finally, the volume profile highlights a high value area at $ 4,305, marking a higher balance terminal, while the low value zone is $ 2511, signaling an extreme threshold where the market could look for liquidity.

Current technical analysis was carried out in collaboration with Elyfeinvestor and popularizer in the cryptocurrency market.

Analysis on derivatives (ETH/USDT)

The derivative indicators depict a globally neutral market. The open interest remains stable, reflecting a prudent speculative positioning, slightly downward oriented before a recent rebound. The CVD confirms a balanced flow after a reflux phase, without net domination of buyers or sellers. The liquidation activity, after an episode marked on long positions, has stabilized, with a relative balance between buyers and sellers. Finally, the Funding misses, slightly positive, translates a moderate bias in favor of long positions, but in clear decrease in relation to previous excesses.

The selling liquidation zone close to $ 4,500 appears to be a critical threshold: a crossing could strengthen the upward dynamics, but it could also serve as a distribution area if the request weakens. On the other hand, the buying areas located between $ 3,800 and $ 3,900, as well as between $ 3,600 and $ 3,700, remain vulnerable to a rupture, likely to cause a lower acceleration, while representing potential points of interest for a strategic accumulation.

Forecasts for the Ethereum (ETH) course

Haussier scenario:

• If the ETH is maintained above $ 3,355, a recovery at $ 4394 then the $ 4,956 ATH remains possible. This scenario would represent approximately +15 % potential since the current level.

Lower scenario:

• In the event of a support of the support at $ 3,825, an acceleration to $ 3,355 then $ 2,900 would be likely, a decline of approximately -33 % from current levels.

Conclusion

Ethereum evolves in a rebalancing phase after a marked correction, with a rebound that relies on increased volumes. Long trends remain upwards, but the short term retains a notable fragility. The liquidation zones show sensitive thresholds, both on the buyer and seller side, which can trigger additional volatility.

In this context, it will be essential to closely monitor the reaction of prices at strategic levels in order to confirm or adjust current forecasts. Finally, remember that these analyzes are based solely on technical criteria, and that the course of cryptocurrencies can evolve quickly according to other more fundamental factors.

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