Bitcoin is struggling to stay above 100,000 dollars, but traders are increasingly optimistic about a possible increase. Dr. Sean Dawson, research manager at Derive, now estimates that the crypto is the likelihood of $ 125,000 by the end of June, a clear increase in the previous forecasts.
Bitcoin could reach $ 125,000
Dr. Sean Dawson, research director at Derive, an ONCHAIN options protocol, published on February 13 a report revealing that the probability for Bitcoin to reach $ 125,000 by June 2025 went from 41.9 % at 44.4 %.
This analysis Intervenes when Bitcoin has been evolving under the symbolic bar of $ 100,000 since February 7, after reaching a historic summit of $ 109,000 on January 20, just before the inauguration of Donald Trump.
The lower risks seem to fade, with a probability of return to $ 75,000 which dropped to 12.1 %, against 17.8 % previously. This perspective contrasts with that of Arthur Hayes, co-founder of Bitmex, who had predicted in January a possible return to the $ 70,000-75,000 zone, a level that could, according to him, trigger a “financial mini-crisis”.
A market in the consolidation phase with optimistic perspectives
The Crypto market feeling index is currently displaying a “neutral” score from 48 out of 100 to February 14, reflecting a certain caution of investors. The trader Jelle stresses that as long as Bitcoin does not reconquer 100,000 dollars, market conditions will remain unstable.
However, long -term perspectives remain very positive. Vaneck, an important asset manager, maintains his forecast of a “medium -term peak” in the first quarter of 2025, before reaching new historical heights. Their analysts anticipate a bitcoin at $ 180,000 “at the top of the cycle” and an Ethereum exceeding 6,000 dollars.
Despite a consolidation phase under 100,000 dollars, the influx of institutional investors and the success of the Bitcoin ETF suggest a resumption of the upward trend. Analysts remain confident for the coming months, some like Cathie Wood by Ark Invest going so far as to predict a Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars by 2030.
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