The Bitcoin mining industry is going through a rough patch. According to a recent report from JPMorgan, mining profitability is at an all-time low, driven by falling prices and rising network hash rates.
Double Scissor Effect Hits Bitcoin Miners
The first half of September was particularly challenging for US-listed mining companies. Two main factors explain their difficulties:
On the one hand, the Bitcoin price is stagnating below the symbolic $60,000 mark, limiting the revenue generated by mining new blocks. This price drop mechanically reduces the value of the rewards obtained by miners.
On the other hand, the Bitcoin network hash rate has returned to its pre-halving levels, reflecting an intensification of competition between miners. This increase in the overall hashrate means that each miner must deploy more computing power to hope to win the race to validate blocks.
This scissors phenomenon, falling revenues and rising costs, drastically compresses the margins of the players in the sector. JPMorgan estimated as well as the “hash price”, a key indicator of miners’ daily profitability, has fallen by more than 50% compared to its pre-halving level.
A Mining Landscape in Full Change
Despite this gloomy context, some interesting developments are emerging:
Listed US miners appear to be doing well, with their share of the global hashrate reaching a record high of 26.7%. This continued growth over the past five months is a testament to the resilience and adaptability of these players.
The combined market capitalization of these companies remains substantial, at nearly $20 billion, despite a 3% drop since the end of August. Some players, such as Hut 8, are even managing to post positive performances.
The drop in the “hash price”, coupled with seasonal trends, could slow down hash rate growth in the short term. This temporary respite would allow miners to catch their breath and optimize their operations.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin mining sector is going through a critical Post-Halving adjustment phase. While the challenges are numerous, the industry's capacity for innovation and adaptation suggests promising development prospects for the most resilient players.
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