More than $34 trillion. This is the astronomical sum that the Americans have let slide onto their shoulders, forming an abysmal national debt. Faced with this chasm, Donald Trump, freshly re-elected, is proposing a bold strategy: making bitcoin a major ally. A national reserve of 1 million BTC could, according to experts, reduce the debt by 35% by 2049. But the plan is based on dizzying assumptions and a bit of political chutzpah.
The American economy attacks Bitcoin
Imagine for a moment: in 2049, the price of bitcoin reaches the staggering value of $42.3 million per unitan annual increase of 25%. Thanks to this ascension, a national reserve of 1 million BTC would cover 35% of the American debt, according to the VanEck report. This debt, estimated at 37 trillion in 2025could swell to 119 trillion dollars in the next 25 years.
To finance this audacity without taxing citizens more, VanEck proposes original solutions :
- Use the 198,100 BTC already seized by the government;
- Sell ​​part of the $455 billion in gold reserves;
- Activate emergency mechanisms, such as strategic support functions.
“ Such an initiative would make bitcoin not only a strategic asset, but also a major economic lever », Explain Matthew Sigel and Nathan Frankovitz, analysts at VanEck.
Although the idea seems attractive, it is nevertheless based on a cocktail of speculation and optimism.
The queen of cryptos, geopolitical weapon of tomorrow?
The adoption of bitcoin as a reserve asset could also change global balances. Some analysts predict that cryptocurrency could represent up to 18% of global financial assets by 2049compared to only 0.22% today.
Jack Mallers, CEO of Strike, even believes that Donald Trump could speed things up by signing a decree on the first day of his mandate, officially establishing bitcoin as a strategic asset. Meanwhile, the Lummis billwhich supports this idea, is still awaiting validation from Congress.
At the same time, BRICS member countrieseager to escape dollar sanctions, could massively adopt bitcoin as a settlement currency for international trade.
“ The use of bitcoin as a trading currency by nation states is becoming increasingly likely », wrote Matthew Sigel. If this comes to fruition, the United States could not only reduce its debt, but also strengthen its position in the race for digital reserves.
At the same time, bitcoin is not limited to a solution for debt forgiveness: it represents an economic potential of 81 trillion dollars to save the United States, some experts argue. A risky bet, but perhaps a winning ticket to transform debt into hard profits.
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