Bitcoin: increased increase in 2025, danger announced for 2026

Bitcoin flirts with the $ 114,000, but behind this stability, some analysts sound the alarm. A new reading of the market, based on Elliott wave theory, announces a summit at 140,000 dollars by the end of this year … followed by a brutal withdrawal in 2026. While the euphoria wins investors, this projection invites you to look beyond the short term.

A bullish target maintained despite the uncertainties

In an analysis, John Glover, director of investments at LEDN and former trader in the rate markets and specialist in the Elliott Wave approach, confirmed that Bitcoin remained on an ascending trajectory around 140,000 dollars by the end of the year.

At a time when the BTC is evolving around $ 114,000, this projection is part of a market context that is still largely optimistic. “”We are still on a structural path which points to a summit around $ 140,000 by the end of the year“, He declared.

This declaration, which comes at a key moment, while major resistance levels could be tested in the coming weeks.

Such a projection is based on the theory of Elliott waves, which structures the markets in behavioral cycles. The expert identifies the current market as being in the fifth and last bullish wave of the cycle, a phase historically associated with a major peak. Here are the key points advanced:

• The current BTC price is around $ 114,000;

• The technical target is set at $ 140,000 for this year, supported by cyclical analysis in Elliott Wave;

• The current configuration would be that of the fifth wave, the last bullish phase before a structural reversal;

• This final wave is characterized, according to the theory, by an euphoria push and a strong market participation before correction;

• John Glover highlights consistency with previous cycles, which have often seen peaks preceded significant falls.

All of these elements suggest that the upper dynamic could be extended in the coming months, but technical analysis calls for vigilance. The objective of the 140,000 dollars, if reached, could thus mark a culmination, not a new stable base.

2026, the year of reversal? An end of cycle that worries

Beyond the apparent optimism, the expert alerts a much less favorable scenario for the following year. According to him, once the summit has reached, 2026 could mark the start of a deep lower market, in connection with the typical behavior of Elliott cycles.

“”The greatest danger does not lie in the coming months, but in what awaits us after the peakHe warns. This declaration reverses the perspective of many actors, encouraging post-Euphoria vigilance rather than in the early celebration of a new historic summit for Bitcoin.

The theory of the waves of Elliott, on which this analysis is based, provides that after the fifth bullish wave comes a major corrective phase, generally called wave A of a trace cycle.

The magnitude of this correction is not specified, but the cyclical nature of the approach implies a structural decline in the market. This hypothesis is distinguished from conventional purely fundamental or macroeconomic analyzes, by focusing on the psychology of crowds and the behavioral regularities of investors over time.

In this perspective, the potential consequences are multiple. If the target of 140,000 dollars were to be reached, the risk of sudden reversal could surprise part of the institutional actors who arrived on the market, and rekindle extreme volatility that bitcoin has known in previous cycles, even if the asset becomes more and more stable than actions. Caution is therefore not essential because of an unfavorable macroeconomic context, but because the very technical conditions on the market would indicate the end of a cycle.