The cryptos market vacillates, and the XRP is on the front line. After a technical instability phase, the situation deteriorated with the announcement of Donald Trump's new customs taxes on car imports. A double blow, amplified by the decline in expectations of a monetary easing of the Fed. In this uncertain climate, analysts fear a fall of 40 %, which threatens to plunge the XRP into a downward spiral. Between alarming technical signals and macroeconomic tensions, the market holds its breath.
A downward configuration that alerts analysts
Since its late 2024 rally, the XRP has displayed a critical technical configuration on its weekly graphic. Analysts observe the formation of a descending triangle, a diagram often interpreted as a signal of downward continuation. If the crypto fails to defend its current support, a brutal fall could engage.
The veteran trader Peter Brandt also sounded the alarm. Thus, he highlights the presence of a figure in the head-toe-spam on the daily graph of the XRP.
He has declared On the X platform (ex Twitter) on March 26, 2025:
This configuration is a classic example of trend reversal, which suggests a fall to $ 1.07 if the key supports do not hold.
Technical signals are worrying:
- The formation of a descending triangle, a model known to anticipate brutal falls;
- A key support at $ 1.32 which, if broken, could trigger a drop to $ 1.07;
- The presence of a figure in the shoulder-toe-shoulder identified by Peter Brandt, which would strengthen the downstream scenario;
- A small volume of purchases which prevents a bullish trend reversal.
Beyond the simple graphics, this drop is also fueled by a broader context of prudence of investors. The market seems hesitant in the face of an uncertain environment where the most volatile cryptos are struggling to attract new capital.
Macroeconomic tensions aggravate the feeling of panic
The technical pressure on the XRP does not only come from the graphics. Indeed, Donald Trump's economic decisions add a major destabilizing element to the equation.
The American president announced 25 % taxes on automotive imports, a measure that will come into force on April 3. This decision, perceived as an inflationist, disturbs investors' anticipations on the monetary policy of the Fed.
Alberto Musalem, president of the Fed of Saint-Louis, underlines That these taxes could add “up to 1.2 percentage points to inflation”, which would make a drop in rates in June less likely.
The market, which anticipated a more accommodating monetary policy a few weeks ago, now reviews its forecasts. In addition, the probability of a rate reduction dropped to 55.7 %, compared to 67.3 % the previous week. This situation limits capital flows to risky assets, including cryptos.
The XRP and the Crypto market in general suffer from an unfavorable macroeconomic environment, where the prudence of investors takes over. If this trend is confirmed, the crypto could see its bullish momentum compromised for several months.
The evolution of the XRP in the coming weeks will depend on two key elements: the holding of its technical support and the next announcements of the Federal Reserve. If the price breaks down, a scenario at $ 1.32 or even $ 1.07 seems plausible. Conversely, a rebound on the current levels could offer a new breath to the asset, with a bullish lens located around $ 2.55.
Investors will also closely monitor the impact of customs tariffs on the American economy and the signals sent by the Fed. A degradation of the economic climate could accentuate caution on risky assets, which would strengthen selling pressure on the XRP. On the other hand, a return to a more flexible monetary policy could allow cryptos to start upwards. The market plays a tight part, where each event can tip the trend.
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