The crypto market is headed right towards an imminent cataclysm: a dizzying fall in assets with a disconcerting probability of 70 %! This, fueled by chaotic global economic factors and the ruthless rates imposed by Trump. Investors are increasingly worried, but fragile hope remains, the only one capable of stopping this descent into hell.
A 70 % inevitable fall in the Crypto market?
On April 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced customs tariff measures to reduce the United States trade deficit. This decision comes at a crucial time for the financial markets, especially the crypto. Indeed, American monetary policy and global trade tensions have a direct influence on the dynamics of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
According to an analysis of Nansen, there are a probability of 70 % Whether the Crypto market reaches a hollow (that is to say a low point or a downward rebound) by June, due to economic factors such as uncertainty linked to American economic policies and the AFD actions to manage a gentle recession.
Especially since the main American stock market indices and the BTC failed to overcome their mobile averages in 200 days, while those in the shorter term drop. Crypto investors will then have to closely follow the upcoming economic data, such as the ISM, the employment rate and the discourse of Jerome Powell.
Hope in the hands of the BTC?
While the situation seems critical, an unexpected factor could come to shake this dynamic: the behavior of Bitcoin whales. These investors with significant BTC amounts (between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC) have started a massive accumulation of crypto since the beginning of 2025, a strategy previously observed before the large bullish rallies of 2020.
This trend in intensive purchase, even in an uncertain market environment, suggests that whales anticipate an increase in the value of Bitcoin. If this historic scheme is repeated, a flight of the BTC could be expected in June 2025, when this hollow lowerier would end.
As a result, if this expected increase in Bitcoin in June 2025 is confirmed, it could become a major catalyst for the entire Crypto market. The optimism generated by a BTC rally would probably attract new investors, also proposing demand for other altcoins. A positive dynamic which could then lead to a general recovery of the Crypto market.
While Trump continues to panic the Crypto market which loses 130 billion in a few days, a new major uncertainty is added with this probability of falling 70 %. However, the accumulation of Bitcoin whales and a rebound in the BTC in June could transform this dynamic. If these signals are confirmed, a rapid and general recovery of the Crypto market could follow.
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