Bitcoin shudders, Binance inflates his chests, the analysts rush … and the ICC points his nose. On the eve of a highly anticipated figure on American inflation, the Crypto market bubbles like an overly full pot. Between Trump's pricing tremors, the reserves that stack and the tweets that panic, the question becomes burning: massive sale to come, or preamble to a rush to digital gold?
Binance takes the BTC: towards a rush … or a laundry?
While Trump suspended the customs tariffs for 90 days, an alert came from cryptocurrency: in just 12 days, 22,106 BTC were transferred to Binancebringing the total to 590,874 BTC. A jack of More dollars $ 1.82 billion In the chests of the platform, just before the announcement of the CPI of Mars. Some see it as a simple set of communicating vases, others, Clear sign of panic or speculation.
As summarizes The contributor Maartunn ::
This shows a strong acceleration of BTC entries on Binance. It is likely that investors actively move their funds to Binance due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
And the timing is not trivial: Trump has just suspended his customs prices for all countries for 90 days, except China, which receives a nice 125 % surchargein response to Beijing's commercial reprisals.
Immediate result: THE price of bitcoin win 8.8 % in 24 hoursflirting with the $ 82,474 at the time of writing. But the real question remains: is this increase organic, or purely tactical?
CPI, inflation and prices: America blows hot and cold
This April 10, the United States will publish Consumer Price Index (ICC) figures for Mars. Consensus? A overall inflation expected at 2.6 %against 2.8 % in February. A slowdown that could make Bulls happy.
On X, Matthew Hyland does not go there by four paths:
The CPI of tomorrow will probably show that inflation collapse at 2.5 %.
But be careful not to bury inflation too quickly. If the energy prices have actually decreased, the increases in prices announced by Trump could relaunch the machine from April, especially in the sectors sensitive to Chinese imports, such as clothing or electronics. And Wells Fargo economists warn: ” The meaning of history is clear. »»
The CPI (excluding energy and food) is expected at +0.3 %, with an annual inflation maintained at 3 %. Enough to fuel debates on the future of rates.
Pre-cost volatility: traders play mouton
In the meantime, the traders take a stand. Some fill their portfolios. Others fill Binance. For what ? To sell if it turns bad. Or to buy faster than the others if it explodes.
But Pav Hundal, analyst at Swyftx, Prefer to nuance ::
Large influx can report sales, but it is a very fluid market. It is plausible that Binance feeds his hot wallets in the face of high demand.
On the side of the federal reserve, the vagueness dominates. According to CME Fedwatch Tool, Traders assess 33 % the probability of a cut in Maybut at 63 % the possibility of 4 drops by December. President Jerome Powell remains stoic:
We don't need to rush. You have to see how it all changes.
Meanwhile, the Fed scrutinizes the divergence between inflation of goods and services. If the prices increase imports, the situation could change faster than expected.
Bitcoin advances on a crest line. On the one hand, inflation seems tamed; On the other, Trump's prices threaten to wake her up. Binance, it takes the Bitcoins as a Swiss bank trunk under steroids. Between bullish anticipation and defensive prudence, investors juggle. And the ICC? He will decide. Maybe. Or not. In the meantime, the dice are thrown away – but the game is far from over.
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