The results of a survey conducted on the decentralized Polymarket Paris site show that the bettors are largely on the old CEO of Binance, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), to obtain a presidential pardon. After pleading guilty and submitted a request for grace, the signals suggest that a majority of players in the Crypto sector expect a favorable decision of the White House.
In short
- The Polymarket survey indicates that 36 % of bettors estimate that CZ will benefit from a presidential grace of Trump in 2025.
- George Santos and Roger Ver occupy second place, tied with 14 % of the bets each
- CZ officially filed a request for grace after pleading guilty for offenses related to money laundering.
- Elected officials have expressed their concerns about this approach, due to an agreement on a stablecoin of $ 2 billion involving Binance.
Polymarket bettors are betting on CZ
In a recent survey entitled “Who will thanks in 2025?” “, Organized by Polymarket, 36 % of participants bet on CZ. MP George Santos and businessman Roger Ver also appear in the ranking, each collecting 14 % of the bets. Rudy Giuliani, Sean “Diddy” Combs and Steve Bannon are also among the proposed names.
This high proportion reflects the particular attention of bettors to the fate of the ex-CEO of Binance. In a speculative market, 36 % constitute a notable advantage and testify to a strong conviction as to the possibility of a grace for CZ.
However, the Polymarket report only reflects the expectations of its users and not the official position of the White House. These prediction markets evolve quickly and do not constitute a reliable indicator of the political decisions to come.
A request for grace under political examination
In November 2023, CZ left his duties as CEO of Binance after recognizing violations of American anti-flary laws. The following year, he was sentenced to four months in prison, the federal judge Richard Jones in Seattle rejected the request of the prosecution, which claimed a three -year sentence.
Zhao publicly mentioned the possibility of a grace after Joe Biden's controversial decision to pardon his son Hunter Biden, prosecuted in several cases. He also confirmed that he had submitted an official request to the White House during a podcast broadcast in May.
This approach has aroused strong reactions from several elected democrats. In a letter addressed to the legal advisor to the White House, David Warrington, and to the deputy prosecutor Todd Blanche, Elizabeth Warren and other parliamentarians asked for details on the status of this request.
According to the document, their concerns relate in particular to an agreement around a stablecoin of $ 2 billion, called USD1, involving Binance, World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and Emirati MGX. For elected officials, this mixture comes in commercial issues and request for grace constitutes a reason for major concern.
Although Changpeng Zhao leads predictions on Polymarket, these bets do not reflect the position of the White House. The presidential graces remain above all political decisions, subject to many factors external to speculation of the markets.
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