Crypto: XRP threatens to fall by another 10 %!

While the cryptos market is going through a phase of wait -and -see, the XRP waits on a critical threshold. Caught between alarming technical signals and a persistent regulatory vagueness, Ripple's assets could fall from 8 to 10 %. A tension area sets in, where each indicator could tip the feeling of the market. For investors, the issue is no longer just the price, but the psychological trajectory of an emblematic asset.

The technical signals of an imminent decline

The technical indicators point to a critical area for the XRP, while the asset has just joined the Hashdex Nasdaq ETF. Indeed, the asset remains for the moment around the threshold of $ 2.75, but analysts warn of a risk of “Fall from 8 to 10 %, to the $ 2.50 zone”if the selling pressure continues.

This decrease would target a Fair Value Gap (FVG), that is to say an area of ​​valuation vacuum which often acts as a liquidity magnet, especially when it is superimposed at key technical levels.

In this specific case, this FVG also rides the levels of Fibonacci 0.50–0.618 trace levels, strengthening its relevance in the market structure.

Here is The technical elements What reveals this configuration:

• A fragile current support: the XRP evolves near the support of $ 2.75, a level already tested on several occasions;

• The identified lowering objective: a correction to $ 2.45 –2.50 $ would coincide with a conventional technical retirement, doubled in a return to an FVG zone;

• A concentration of buyers: According to Glassnode, a high density of holders is positioned in the $ 2.45 $ 2,45 area, which could cause a defensive rebound if this threshold is reached.

Although these signals converge on a short -term withdrawal scenario, all data also suggests that this possible decrease could serve as a springboard for a recovery, if buyers manage to defend the $ 2.50 area. However, in the absence of an immediate catalyst, the dynamics remain dominated by sellers in this adjustment phase.

Liquidity compression and expectations around ETF

Beyond the technical indicators only, the structural signals announce a potential change of regime in market behavior. The Cabinet Sistine Research stresses that the XRP is currently going through its third compression phase since November 2024, characterized by a gradual reduction in price differences and a concentration of liquidity.

According to the analysis, this compression is based on “three consecutively higher prices”, which indicates an extreme tightening of the order book. Such configurations have historically preceded violent price movements, upwards and downwards.

On the market flow front, analyst Pelin Ay has note that the CVD (cumulative Delta volume) over 90 days still shows a domination of the sellers, despite “A brief push of buyers”.

This imbalance reveals that bullish investors have not yet regained control of the momentum, making any scenario of conditional recovery to a decisive reversal of the volumes. To this tension is added a speculative dimension around ETF Crypto under approval.

If the XRP ETF of Rex/Osprey experienced a remarkable launch with nearly $ 38 million in volume from the first day, market optimism could already be partially integrated into current prices.

Franklin Templeton's highly anticipated decision on Son ETF XRP, postponed to November 14, could constitute a pivotal moment. By then, the current structure of the market remains vulnerable to a sudden decompression movement. In the event of a positive reaction to regulatory announcements, a break in the price of the XRP above $ 2.90 could invalidate the current decline scenario.