Bitcoin oscillates between a spectacular breakthrough beyond $100,000 or a brutal fall. After flirting with $99,500, the flagship crypto stagnates at $98,500. However, forecasts from markets like Kalshi are announcing even more dizzying figures for the end of the year, suggesting a potential historic rally. But what are the real data that fuel this optimism?

Bitcoin: a historic milestone within reach
The price of bitcoin continues an impressive progression, with an increase of almost 8% over the last seven days. Since November 5, when it was worth $67,842.12, its price has jumped 45.51%, reaching $98,962 last night. Although a slight decrease of 0.2% was recorded over the last 24 hours, the general trend remains optimistic, with particularly ambitious projections.
Prediction markets, such as Kalshiassign a probability of 95% that BTC crosses $100,000 by December 31. Better yet, these same markets estimate a 13% chance that it will reach $150,000 before the end of the year.
According to this data, a rally scenario beyond 100K seems increasingly plausible.
BTC price: rapid growth and numerical projections
Since the beginning of the month, the market has been oscillating between flights and slight correctionsbut remains generally bullish. A performance similar to that of the second weekend of November (+5.29%) could allow bitcoin to cross $103,975 from Monday, November 25.
In contrast, other weekends showed declines (-1.19% and -1.36%), illustrating the continued volatility of BTC.
The end-of-year projections are just as fascinating:
- The expected median price reaches $127,000, a credible increase according to experts;
- If this milestone is reached, the capitalization of the Bitcoin market would exceed 2.5 trillion dollars;
- Currently, the capitalization of $1.95 trillion already shows growth of 42.33% since the beginning of November.
These figures reflect unprecedented growth potential, but also significant risks linked to market fluctuations.
So, if bitcoin seems on the verge of breaking the $100,000 ceiling, some analysts fear a brutal reversal. Traders oscillate between euphoria and caution, in a market more unstable than ever.
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