Bitcoin could fall by 20 % several times before going up

While Bitcoin crosses a consolidation phase around $ 110,000, the ambient euphoria comes up against signs of prudence. Analysts believe that the trajectory towards a new ATH will not be linear. Corrections, volatility and regulatory uncertainty could mark the course. In a market where optimism dominates, some recall that the summits are deserved, and that the folds are part of the path.

Necessary corrections in a bullish trajectory

While the $ 110,000 zone becomes a key threshold, Jordi Visser, investor and market analyst, says in a publication on the social network X: “Bitcoin will do exactly the same as Nvidia”.

He underlines that despite the explosion of the valuation of Nvidia, today the first company listed in the world to reach 4,000 billion dollars, the action of the action was far from linear.

“During this period, you had five corrections of 20 % or more at Nvidia before it returned to its historical heights. Bitcoin will do the same ”. To screw, Bitcoin is now integrated into what he calls the “Ai Trade”an investment strategy focused on assets exposed to the rise of artificial intelligence.

This comparison is based on a common dynamic between the two active ingredients, which screws structural judge rather than economic. Here is The main points of his analysis:

• Bitcoin, like Nvidia, is propelled by the AI ​​revolution: both capture the attention of investors who seek to position themselves on the major technological transformations to come;

• The corrections are an integral part of the Haussier cycle: five major folds of more than 20 % have punctuated the ascent of Nvidia since 2022, without calling into question its upward trend;

• Bitcoin will experience similar declines before reaching new historical heights, according to screw. In particular, it anticipates movements of this type during the fourth of the year, a period yet deemed favorable to cryptos;

• The parallel is not trivial: Nvidia has become the symbol of industrial digital transformation, while the BTC could embody the reserve of the digital age.

This reading suggests that the upcoming correction phases should not be interpreted as market reversal signals, but as logical steps in a general bullish cycle.

Regulatory inertia and doubts on future catalysts

In addition to these technical correction forecasts, other analysts question the current stagnation of the Bitcoin price, which remains around 110,000 dollars, or about 11 % below its historic summit, established at just over $ 123,000.

This relative inertia contrasts with the dynamics observed on other markets, where gold and certain stock market indices have scored new records. Such a contrast feeds a debate among investors: does the recent Bitcoin correction announce a sustainable trend reversal, or is it only a new leap around 140,000 dollars, a target targeted by certain observers by the end of the year?

An element often put forward to explain this situation is the lack of strategic engagement on the part of the United States. Several analysts had anticipated that the American government could initiate a BTC purchasing program, intended to build a national strategic reserve.

This hypothesis, which could have served as a powerful catalyst for the market, did not materialize. In parallel, the regulatory uncertainties and the prudence of major institutional investors continue to weigh on global feeling. For some, the ambient optimism around the BTC is premature as long as these structural brakes are not lifted.

In the medium term, this situation opens the way to several divergent scenarios. On the one hand, if the current uncertainties dissipate, for example, via a regulatory clarification or the adoption of a purchasing policy by a major state, the BTC could quickly resume its march forward. On the other hand, an absence of a catalyst could prolong the consolidation, or even lead to a more marked correction around 60,000 dollars, as fearful of some market players.