Bitcoin Rebound, Crypto Market Recovery Coming? Analysis for August 13, 2024

After a slight rebound following the crypto market decline, Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase. Let’s analyze together the future prospects of the BTC price.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Status

After falling significantly due to fears of a recession in the United States, Bitcoin bottomed out at $49,200. It was at this level that the flagship cryptocurrency regained strength, rebounding by nearly 28%. Bitcoin thus reached a high of $62,800. Unfortunately, this bullish momentum began to run out of steam from this level. Subsequently, the BTC price entered a consolidation phase, trading in a range roughly between $56,000 and $62,800.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $59,700. While the short-term structure appears to be turning bullish again, the cryptocurrency’s medium-to-long-term trend is casting doubt. Indeed, while BTC has rebounded, it remains below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which recently formed a “death cross.” Nevertheless, we can take comfort in the fact that Bitcoin has re-entered its annual and weekly VWAP. In addition, it appears to be on the verge of holding above the control point set since Bitcoin’s last low. In terms of cryptocurrency momentum, it still appears weak despite a small rebound that appears to be slightly supported. This is reflected in the price of BTC itself as well as its oscillators.

BTCUSD Daily ChartBTCUSD Daily Chart
BTCUSD Daily Chart

The current technical analysis was carried out in collaboration with Elie FT, a passionate investor and trader in the cryptocurrency market. Now a trainer at Family Tradinga community of thousands of self-employed traders active since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content and mutual assistance around the financial markets in a professional and friendly atmosphere.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Hypotheses

  • If the Bitcoin price stays above $56,000, we could anticipate reaching $62,800 or even $63,000. The next resistance to consider would then be around $65,600 or even $67,000. If the upward movement continues, we could envisage a continuation of the movement up to $70,000 or even $72,000. At this point, this would represent an increase of close to 20%.
  • If Bitcoin fails to hold above $56,000, we could see a return to around $55,000. The next support to consider, if the bearish movement continues, would be between $53,400. Further down, we can note the support at $49,200. At this point, this would represent a decline of around 18%.

Conclusion

In short, while Bitcoin has shown signs of recovery after a significant drop, its future remains uncertain. The cryptocurrency is in a consolidation phase, and despite some positive indicators, the overall momentum remains fragile. Thus, it will be crucial to carefully observe the price reaction at different key levels to confirm or deny current hypotheses. It is also important to remain vigilant against potential market “fake outs” and “squeezes” in each scenario. Finally, let us remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria and that the price of cryptocurrencies can also evolve rapidly depending on other more fundamental factors.

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