The Crypto market is currently experiencing a period of uncertainty, while Bitcoin, which had recently reached historical heights, shows signs of weakness. Crypto and experts have identified worrying indicators suggesting a possible upcoming lower phase.
Alert signals are multiplying on the Bitcoin market
On February 15, 2025, the cryptocurrency blockchain analysis platform published a revealing report on Bitcoin movements. The Inter-Ex-Ex-Exchange Flow Pow (IFP) indicator shows a disturbing trend: investors massively remove their bitcoins from derivative product trading platforms to transfer them to Spot Exchange. This behavior is historically associated with a reduction in risk exposure by major investors.
According to JA Maartunn, analyst in cryptocurrency, this movement is generally a sign of prudence. Indeed, when investors move their bitcoins to conventional platforms, it is often to protect themselves from a possible drop in prices. Conversely, during the increase periods, investors tend to transfer their BTC to speculative platforms to maximize their gains.
Another worrying signal comes from the history of IFP. In March 2021, this indicator had reached a record level just before Bitcoin climbed $ 58,000. On the other hand, during the recent summit of $ 109,000 in January 2024, the IFP remained surprisingly low. It is unusual, because traditionally, each new Bitcoin record is accompanied by a new IFP record.
The macroeconomic context weighs on the prospects
The current Bitcoin situation is part of a complex macroeconomic context, particularly in the United States. The latest reports on inflation have led the American Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain a prudent position, probably pushing the softening of its monetary policy to 2025. This decision has a direct impact on risky assets such as Bitcoin.
The conditions of global liquidity, essential to support the Crypto market, largely depend on these monetary policy decisions. Analysts suggest that a lasting resumption of Bitcoin will require a significant improvement in global liquidity conditions, which seems unlikely in the short term.
Nevertheless, whales are the subject of increased monitoring by analysts, who seek to identify reliable support levels for the price of bitcoin. Their behavior could provide precious clues to the future management of the market.
In short, although technical signals suggest a possible correction phase, many experts maintain their optimism on the long -term perspectives of Bitcoin. The combination of technical indicators and the macroeconomic context, however, invites caution in the coming weeks, particularly for investors with short -term investment horizons.
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