Bitcoin bear market may be coming to an end, says Cantor Fitzgerald
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Crypto market cycles regularly impose iron discipline on investors, transforming the euphoria of peaks into long periods of uncertainty. The current environment of the financial digital industry is once again hung up on the analyzes of major Wall Street institutions, whose research notes guide capital flows across the world. It is in this very volatile climate that the American investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald has just released a large-scale strategic report, affirming that the bitcoin bear market is now on the verge of ending. This intervention comes at a pivotal time when the price trend is seeking a clear direction after months of continuous correction.

An analyst from the American investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald predicts a rise in Bitcoin.

In brief

  • Cantor Fitzgerald believes that the Bitcoin bear market is entering its final stages, based on analysis of historical cycles and market data.
  • Wall Street projections place Bitcoin's potential low point around October 2026, after a 51% correction and more than 250 days of decline.
  • The bank recommends favoring projects based on solid fundamentals, capable of generating sustainable value rather than relying solely on speculation.
  • Companies holding crypto treasuries could play a central role in bridging traditional finance and this ecosystem.

Cantor Fitzgerald's Quantitative Analysis and Modeling Bitcoin's Bottom Point

Cantor Fitzgerald, an American investment bank, believes that the crypto market is in the final stages of its corrective phase, comparing to historical bitcoin cycles. According to the figures that the establishment published in its latest research report, the current technical construction is strongly correlated with the previous behaviors of the first virtual currency on the market.

The establishment's analysts emphasize that the drop recorded falls within very usual time and price parameters for this stock. To support this reading, the research team led by Gareth Gacetta asserted unequivocally in his report: “finally, our conviction is that we are only a few months away from the trough of this decline”.

On a purely statistical level, the numerical models put forward by the investment bank reveal the following characteristics:

  • The extent of the correction: during the month of June, bitcoin showed a decline of around 51% compared to its historic peak recorded during the year 2025;
  • The duration of the decline: as of June 10, the asset had validated exactly 252 days of continuous correction since its cyclical peak;
  • The historical projection: analysis of previous cycles indicates that the absolute low point generally occurs 384 days after the peak, which would place the final bottom around October 2026.

The strategic shift towards sustainable value and restructuring of treasuries

Cantor Fitzgerald is pushing investors to rethink the very nature of investments in the crypto ecosystem, well beyond simple calendar forecasts. The investment bank recommends leaving purely speculative approaches behind to focus on assets based on solid and measurable economic fundamentals.

Thus, the institution recommends directing capital towards network architectures capable of generating sustainable value, through real cash flows or structural and lasting monetary demand. This approach reflects a clear desire to rationalize the evaluation of decentralized protocols, using reading grids inherited from traditional finance.

Such a paradigm shift is manifested by specific monitoring of companies that manage crypto treasuries. The investment bank, in its research note, notes that these structures are gradually transforming into particularly active operators, playing the role of direct bridges between traditional finance and the crypto ecosystem.

To illustrate this concrete trend, Cantor Fitzgerald specifically cites companies such as Forward Industries and Cypherpunk Technologies, presenting them as notable investment opportunities as part of this structural transformation in digital capital management.

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Structural implications and prospects for the crypto market

This study concludes that the theoretical end of the bitcoin bear market could redefine the distribution of forces within the global financial industry. If Cantor Fitzgerald's forecasts are confirmed by the fall, the market could move from purely speculative volatility to a phase of increased institutionalization, where profitability and real cash flow will become the main selection criteria.

However, the time horizon of a few months cited by analysts means that portfolios will have to endure a prolonged period of consolidation, which requires rigorous risk management from market participants. Thus, the outlook is emerging under the sign of increased maturity, where the difference between purely narrative projects and those providing concrete utility will be more marked than ever.

Investors will need to monitor with increased attention the compliance of these forecasts with the reality of incoming financial flows into regulated investment vehicles. Ultimately, the approval of such a scenario by a Wall Street giant could precipitate the integration of cryptos at the heart of traditional fund allocation strategies, thus strengthening the role of bitcoin as an essential macroeconomic asset of the modern financial system.

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