AVAX jumps 100%: New highs in sight or an expected decline?

The crypto market is in turmoil with Avalanche (AVAX) emerging as one of the best performing assets in recent weeks. Thanks to the doubling of its value in record time, AVAX has captured the attention of investors, but also revived speculation about a potential prolonged rally. As the Avalanche platform continues to strengthen its ecosystem, could this price surge mark a lasting change, or signal imminent overheating?

An avalanche of AVAX tokens rolling down a mountain. A crypto investor at the bottom of the mountain, raising his arms to catch them or surprised by the descent.

A rebound fueled by technical and fundamental signals

Avalanche (AVAX) saw its price explode from $21.56 to a recent high of $47.81, a 100% increase. This upward movement was triggered by a decisive break of a long-term downtrend, with a successful retest of its key level at $38.57. According to observers, this level represents a “crucial area to maintain the bullish dynamic”, and its maintenance could make it possible to reach new objectives, in particular the psychological bar of $60.

Along with these technical indicators, the volume of activity on Avalanche has increased significantly. On-chain data shows a 51.83% increase in new addresses in one week and a 9.09% increase in total value locked (TVL) on the platform, now at $1.443 billion. These signals suggest renewed interest in Avalanche within DeFi users and beyond.

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Short-term challenges and opportunities for Avalanche

Despite the ambient euphoria, certain technical indicators call for caution. The Bollinger Bands indicate that “the AVAX token is in overbought territory, which could cause a pullback towards the 20-day moving average located at $32.70,” according to TradingView observations. This scenario provides more information about a potential slowdown in the uptrend, which fuels speculation about a short-term consolidation.

However, growing community engagement and increasing platform revenue ($75,998 per day) strengthen Avalanche's relevance in the market. If AVAX manages to maintain its current levels and overcome the critical resistance at $47.81, it could pave the way to all-time highs. The platform will also have to prove its resilience against competitors like Ethereum, of which the stablecoin market remains a significant lever.

As a reflection, Avalanche's recent rise shows the importance of key tiers and growing ecosystem adoption. However, with cryptos inherently volatile, it is essential for investors to monitor strategic supports and remain alert to signals of overheating. The next few days will be decisive in knowing whether Avalanche will turn this momentum into a truly lasting breakthrough in the crypto universe or whether a pullback will temporarily adjust its price.

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