The crypto market is once again scrutinizing Solana. A technical signal identified on its weekly charts, already observed during marked upward phases, has just been confirmed. This return comes in a still fragile environment, where investors are looking for benchmarks. Between historical precedent and decisive price levels, the asset finds itself at a pivotal moment in its trajectory.
In brief
- A rare technical signal reappears on Solana and attracts the attention of analysts.
- The bullish crossover of the MACD is historically linked to marked increases in the SOL.
- The RSI confirms a possible exit from the bearish phase and reinforces the recovery scenario.
- In previous cycles, this signal led to significant price increases.
A historic bullish signal returns to Solana
The market is carefully observing the return of a bullish crossover of the MACD on the weekly unit, a technical signal which, in the past, has preceded significant increases in the price of Solana.
This pattern is closely monitored by analysts because it often occurs at pivotal times in the market cycle. Analyst Tyler Hill recalls: “The last time we were in this pattern marked the low point of Solana's bear market, and its price subsequently rallied over 3,000%”. This type of signal now fuels the hypothesis of a potential reversal.
At the same time, the weekly RSI reinforces this reading. The indicator is currently rising around 35 after touching 25, an area historically associated with phases of capitulation. Thus, during the previous cycle, this level had preceded a marked progression, with a move from less than 10 dollars to around 210 dollars. The combination of the MACD and the RSI thus constitutes a technical confluence observed several times during market recovery phases.
Here are some elements that structure this logic:
- In 2021, this signal preceded an increase of +617%;
- In 2023, it was followed by a +860% rally;
- In May 2025, a similar pattern led to an advance from $125 to over $250, or +100%.
A market under tension between breakout and key resistance
Graphically and on-chain data, Solana now operates in a symmetrical triangle structure, a pattern generally associated with compression phases before a directional movement. Breaking out of this formation could determine the price trajectory in the short to medium term.
A break above the $90 zone would open the way to an estimated target around $130, representing an upside potential of around 50.5% according to technical projections.
This outlook remains conditional on the market's ability to cross a dense resistance zone located between $90 and $96, where nearly 9.9 million SOL are concentrated. Such a level represents a major sticking point likely to dampen bullish momentum. Despite this, some observers anticipate a marked movement. The Sixtysecondalpha analyst evoked even “the most powerful movement” to come, highlighting a potentially decisive phase for the asset.
The evolution of Solana now depends on its ability to transform these technical signals into real market dynamics. Between accumulation and selling pressure, the next phase could redefine the trend for the months to come. A validation of the breakout would reinforce the scenario of a return to the bullish phase, while a rejection under resistance would prolong the uncertainty.
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