XRP is hovering around $1.35 as US lawmakers debate a bill that could reshape crypto regulations. The Senate's consideration of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has become a focal point for market participants. Although price action remains compressed, expectations for volatility are increasing. As March 31 approaches, direction may depend on whether the bill advances on time.

In brief
- Tensed Technical Background: A break above $1.51 could restart the momentum.
- Major regulatory catalyst: Senate consideration of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act could redefine the classification of digital assets in the United States and directly influence XRP volatility by the end of March.
- Conditional Scenarios: According to projections, rapid adoption could push XRP towards $2.00–$2.50, while a delay or macro weakness could limit the upside or bring the price back towards the $1.27 support.
XRP Market Background and Key Technical Levels
According to recent market data, XRP is trading in a tight range between $1.35 and $1.40. Previous pullbacks pushed the price towards support between $1.27 and $1.30. But buyers stepped into this area during broader market weakness.
Since the end of last year, XRP continues to form lower highs on the daily chart. Meanwhile, resistance remains firm near the 200-day moving average between $2.20 and $2.30. This cap defines the broader trend and limits attempts to move higher.
At the same time, the structure of the chart shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle. Relative Strength Index readings remain near neutral levels, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. Neither side has established clear dominance.
However, a break above $1.51 could change the near-term momentum. This level corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and marks a technical pivot. Sustained strength beyond that could invite renewed buying interest.
Meanwhile, broader inflows into crypto ETFs, recently reported at around $1.24 billion, add another dimension to the context. Strong inflows into large-cap assets often improve liquidity conditions on major altcoins. XRP has historically responded when overall capital flows strengthen.


Seasonal trends also attract attention. March saw average bounces of around 18% for XRP in previous years. Although history does not repeat itself mechanically, the timing coincides with ongoing regulatory discussions.
On the supply side, Ripple recently re-locked 700 million XRP in escrow. However, scheduled releases continue to influence circulating supply. Additionally, macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions are weighing on overall digital asset sentiment.
Progress on the CLARITY Act and potential regulatory change
Legislative progress now plays a decisive role in short-term expectations. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 passed the U.S. House of Representatives in July with bipartisan support. Lawmakers proposed dividing oversight among federal agencies to clarify asset classification.
Under this framework, some tokens could fall under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, while others would remain subject to securities rules. In specific contexts, XRP could be treated as a commodity asset rather than a security.
Market participants are focusing on several key regulatory points:
- The Senate markup schedule and the committee vote schedule.
- Final wording regarding asset classification standards.
- Clarifications on the boundaries between CFTC and securities supervision.
- Stablecoin yield provisions likely to delay adoption.
Any of these could change expectations in the short term. If the process moves quickly, volatility could concentrate towards the end of March. On the other hand, any delay could push uncertainty into the second quarter.
Currently, the bill awaits Senate consideration, with a potential markup expected by the end of March 2026. Separately, Brad Garlinghouse has publicly stated that he sees ” 80% to 90% chance » adoption by mid-2026. If the timetable accelerates and a signing occurs before mid-March, the markets could react before the end of the month.
XRP Price Prediction by Grok AI for March 31
In this context, Grok AI's models present three potential scenarios for XRP between now and March 31, 2026. In the base scenario, the passage of the bill triggers a rapid move towards $1.60 to $1.70.
From here, momentum could extend towards $2.00 to $2.30 near the 200-day moving average. Analysts estimate an average level around $2.50 if gains are between 50% and 100% from current prices.
In a more bullish scenario, strong institutional flows and favorable macroeconomic conditions could push XRP between $3.50 and $5.00. Previous regulatory updates have produced large short-term increases, particularly when legal risk declines sharply.


Conversely, delays in approval in the Senate or further macroeconomic weakness could limit the rise. In this scenario, advances could stall between $1.80 and $2.00. A break below the $1.27 support would expose to further bearish pressure.
All projections remain conditional. The legislative timeline, liquidity conditions and overall risk appetite will ultimately shape the outcome.
Minotaurus pre-sale is gaining momentum
While XRP holders await clearer regulatory direction, some market participants are positioning themselves further out on the risk curve. Minotaurus (MTAUR)a Web3 gaming token built on Binance Smart Chain, raised over 3.125 million USDT ahead of its exchange debut. The current presale price is 0.00012682 USDT, with the next confirmed tier set at 0.00014 USDT.
Although the increase appears small, it represents a structured increase by making a interesting token to invest in. At the current rate, 50 USDT converts to approximately 394,000 MTAUR tokens. An allocation of 300 USDT is equivalent to approximately 2.365 million tokens. This tiered structure allows early participants to secure a larger number of tokens before the public listing begins.
Additionally, the team introduced a 100,000 USDT incentive pool during the pre-sale period. The largest wallet will receive 50,000 USDT, while 99 other participants will share the remaining allocation. Such a structure emphasizes early positioning rather than waiting for post-listing price fluctuations.


At its launch, Minotaurus is expected to debut with an initial market capitalization of 5.6 million USDT. For comparison, many gaming-related tokens enter the public markets at significantly higher valuations. If the capitalization reaches 56 million USDT, this would represent a 10x expansion from launch levels. A 100x scenario would imply a valuation close to 560 million USDT. These figures are simple mathematical projections based on potential capitalization growth, not price guarantees.
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