The next few weeks could decide the continuation of the market, while Bitcoin is evolving above $ 117,000. Indeed, the legendary trader Peter Brandt warns that the Crypto Reine approaches a pivotal moment, perhaps a temporary summit. With more than ten years of analysis of post-halving cycles, he warns against a scenario that could even surprise seasoned investors. This alert comes as some experts doubt the relevance of the historic cycle of Bitcoin.
In short
- Peter Brandt believes that Bitcoin could reach a temporary summit in the next six weeks.
- The Bitcoin price has anchored between $ 112,000 and $ 123,000 in recent weeks, with a return above $ 117,000.
- Brandt's analysis is based on the historical observation of post-halving cycles and their culminating points.
- Some analysts, including Matt Hougan, believe that the four -year cycle may be disappearing.
A summit in the next six weeks?
While there is a massive leakage of Bitcoin capital for the benefit of Ethereum, Peter Brandt, a respected figure in trading, said on the social network X that “Depending on the way I perceive the cycles of Bitcoin, from the lowest to the highest with the halving marking the median point (+/- one to two weeks), a translated summit could occur in the next six weeks”.
This prediction is integrated into a context where bitcoin has experienced significant movements in recent weeks:
- August 2: a fall at $ 112,000, the lowest recent level;
- Mid-July: the maintenance in a price range around $ 117,000;
- July 14: a record of $ 123,000, last historic summit;
- A return to 117,656 dollars currently, up 0.89 % over 24 hours and 3.6 % over the week.
For Brandt, this time window could correspond to the last bullish phase before a significant withdrawal. Its warning is based on a history of cycles where halving plays a pivotal role, often preceding an acceleration of prices followed by a marked correction.
Towards the end of the classic Bitcoin cycle?
Beyond the deadline set by Brandt, another debate agitates the community: that of the four-year historical cycle.
This model, widely accepted so far, provided for a strong post-halving increase, followed by a summit, then a correction of 70 to 80 %, resulting in a long period of significant drop in the prices of cryptos. However, several recent signals suggest that this mechanics could weaken, even disappear.
Matt Hougan, investment director at Bitwise, precise that “The four -year cycle could be finished, but for it to be officially the case, Bitcoin must behave well in 2026”. It attributes this possible break to the boom in Bitcoin ETF, to the change of profile of investors and to a more favorable regulatory environment.
If these factors modify the structure of the market, the historical link between halving and price phases could lose its relevance, making predictions based on this uncertain scheme.
The next six weeks will therefore be both a test for the forecast of Peter Brandt and for the robustness of the cyclic model which has guided many investment strategies. If the price of bitcoin reaches a summit in the announced window, supporters of the traditional cycle will see confirmation. Otherwise, the market may well enter an era where other forces, institutional, regulatory or macroeconomic, take precedence over historic landmarks.
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