Bitcoin could resume a strong bullish movement as soon as US President Donald Trump approves the highly anticipated “Big Beautiful Bill” (which would be translated by “great and beautiful bill”) on the day of independence. The projections within the Crypto circles are already on the benchmark asset to test the $ 150,000 mark while Trump affixes his signature on this massive expenditure proposal. As the BTC has often recorded two -digit rallies in the weeks following the signing of such major spending plans, market participants provide for a similar result.
Experts compare the “Big Beautiful Bill” Haussier market of COVVI-19
Crypto commentators already establish parallels between the “Big Beautiful Bill” and the Haussier market of COVID-19. A few weeks after Trump signed a COVVI-19 spending plan, Bitcoin recorded an increase of 38 % of its price, while the Crypto market reacted positively to this measure.
With an American debt profile currently at a record level of $ 40,000 billion in 2025, experts estimate that the “Big Beautiful Bill” could trigger another BTC rally. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the current national debt represents an increase close to 17,000 billion compared to the figure of 23.2 thousand billions of 2023. The commentator of the world capital markets also expressed his concern in the face of the explosion of the debt crisis, noting that the United States has never accumulated such sums of credit in their history.
Interestingly, Bitcoin benefited from the increased risk associated with the expansion of the profile of the American debt. Here are the factors underlying the positive response of the BTC to American laws promoting the increase in debt:
- Investors anticipate inflation or weakening of the dollar, often shifting funds to other value reserves.
- Bitcoin is considered to be digital gold, out of inflation and regional control.
- Additional public spending increases liquidity, often encouraging investors to turn to risky assets such as cryptocurrencies.
In this context, Bitcoin could exceed $ 150,000 if its trend follows the Big Beautiful Bill. At the time of the editorial staff, the asset was exchanged at $ 108,000 following a solid start to the third quarter of the year.
The increase in world M2 money supply fueling the bitcoin bull'sity forecasts to $ 170,000
Market commentators also highlight the expansion of M2 global money supply as another underlying engine of bullish anticipations on the price of Bitcoin. For context, the M2 mass measures the total amount of money available in an economy, both as active and liquidity. An increase in the M2 score reflects a healthy circulation of liquidity in the economy. Usually, such a surplus of capital is often heading for “more risky assets” such as cryptocurrencies.
By analyzing on a historic scale, the price of the BTC often seems to have followed the M2 bar with slight delays. The reference cryptocurrency regularly accuses a delay of 3 to 6 months compared to the world M2 and American M2. However, in rare cases such as the April 2025 rally above the $ 100,000 mark, this lag was only one to two weeks.
Although the BTC has experienced price increases during slow M2 movements, these trends are often brief. On the other hand, the piece tends to behave better during the periods of thrust supported by the M2, which seem to be taking place in the current cycle. On July 3, the overall M2 mass exceeded 55.4,000 billion dollars, reaching a new historic record.
Popular analyst, Crypto Auris, predice That Bitcoin will reach the next target of $ 170,000 as the global money supply grows. However, the commentator Crypto is not the only one to make this forecast. Other market experts, including Adityaalso expect the asset to reach the threshold of $ 170,000, citing the weakening of the dollar and the expansion of the M2.
The weakening of the dollar signals a potential rally of Bitcoin in the middle of a renewed divergence
Bitcoin generally experiences increased demand due to a trend of weakening the US dollar. At the beginning of the year, the index (DXY) fell to 10.8 %, its worst performance for more than fifty years. During this period, Bitcoin won 13.25 %, reflecting divergence from the dollar.
Historically, these opposite movements have led to major changes on the market. For example, the increase in Doxy and the drop in BTC in March 2022 were followed by a lower market. In addition, the negative correlation of the price of November 2020 sparked a great bullish race.
Upon entering this cycle, the BTC and the DXY evolved in the same direction until the beginning of last year. A divergent trend appeared in T2 2025, while the Dxy fell below 100 for the first time in twenty-four months. Assuming that historical trends prevail, Bitcoin could initiate a new upward phase, amplified by the continuous weakness of the dollar.
Maximize your Cointribne experience with our 'Read to Earn' program! For each article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start accumulating advantages.
